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BCS week 2

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The new BCS poll just came out today and boy oh boy am I dissapointed in this poll.  There are small glimmers of light in it though, as far as getting it right is concerned.

Lets start with the rundown.

BCS Harris Poll USA Today Computer Rankings
RK TEAM AVG PVS RK PTS % RK PTS % AVG A&H RB CM KM JS PW %
1 Florida .9726 1 1 2765 .9788 1 1459 .9892 2 24 24 23 23 24 24 .950
2 Alabama .9450 2 2 2674 .9465 2 1399 .9485 3 23 25 24 24 23 23 .940
3 Texas .8927 3 3 2672 .9458 3 1390 .9424 5 21 23 22 16 12 20 .790
4 Iowa .8249 6 8 2086 .7384 8 1086 .7363 1 25 22 25 25 25 25 1.000
5 USC .7944 7 4 2316 .8198 4 1244 .8434 9 18 16 18 19 19 17 .720
6 TCU .7890 8 7 2119 .7501 6 1131 .7668 4 22 21 21 21 18 22 .850
7 Boise State .7752 4 5 2273 .8046 5 1152 .7810 8 16 20 15 20 22 18 .740
8 Cincinnati .7735 5 6 2224 .7873 7 1126 .7634 6 20 18 19 18 20 21 .770
9 LSU .7030 9 9 1994 .7058 9 1037 .7031 10 19 19 17 17 17 16 .700
10 Oregon .6456 11 11 1689 .5979 12 839 .5688 6 17 17 20 22 21 19 .770
11 Georgia Tech .5895 12 12 1644 .5819 11 865 .5864 11 15 15 16 15 15 15 .600
12 Penn State .5851 13 10 1699 .6014 10 935 .6339 13 13 13 13 12 13 13 .520
13 Virginia Tech .4921 14 14 1350 .4779 14 691 .4685 12 14 12 14 13 14 12 .530
14 Oklahoma State .4494 15 13 1522 .5388 13 825 .5593 17 8 11 6 4 0 7 .250
15 Pittsburgh .3415 20 17 952 .3370 17 542 .3675 16 11 10 12 2 2 9 .320
16 Utah .3161 18 19 834 .2952 19 403 .2732 15 9 14 9 8 10 10 .380
17 Ohio State .3147 19 15 1125 .3982 15 569 .3858 23 5 5 5 5 0 1 .160
18 Houston .3085 17 16 1064 .3766 16 544 .3688 22 6 4 7 0 1 8 .180
19 Miami (FL) .2491 10 18 858 .3037 18 433 .2936 24 2 2 3 6 6 4 .150
20 Arizona .2241 22 25 230 .0814 24 149 .1010 14 10 0 11 14 16 14 .490
21 West Virginia .1959 23 20 622 .2202 20 365 .2475 25 7 0 10 3 0 2 .120
22 South Carolina .1891 24 21 475 .1681 21 279 .1892 20 3 7 4 7 8 3 .210
23 Notre Dame .1197 NR 24 236 .0835 25 82 .0556 19 12 0 8 11 3 0 .220
24 California .0916 NR 28 65 .0230 29 32 .0217 18 0 9 0 9 11 5 .230
25 Mississippi .0907 NR 23 342 .1211 22 223 .1512 28 0 3 0 0 0 0 .000



In the top 3, Florida, Bama, and Texas all won their own games but this week the spread gets a tiny bit tighter from last week.  Not enough to write home about though with .08 separating 1st and 3rd.

Iowa has to be the flat out dark horse for this season, they are setting school records left and right, not to mention helping me catch up on the season for my pick’ems against Austin. Taking a solid 4th place and ready to sneak into the national championship game if 2 of the top 3 slip up and if they themselves can take down Ohio State at Ohio State which will be the game to watch for Iowa.

USC and TCU each moved up two spots in the BCS for 5th and 6th.  USC, with a close win over conference rival Oregon St. is back in the drivers seat to make a run at winning the PAC-10 this year and heading to the Rose Bowl once again.  TCU is looking to crash the BCS party this year and are poised to do that.  They can add to their arguement as the front runner for non-BCS schools and clinch their conference with a win over Utah in a couple weeks.

Boise St. and Cincinnati both slipped 3 spots this week taking the 7th and 8th position in the poll.  Boise St. went to town on a dismal Hawaii team and Cincinnati gave us another show with the picking apart of last place Louisville.  Wins like those will not get you much when the people ahead of you are remaining undefeated and playing better opponents.

LSU is also back in the hunt with a very outside but real chance to sneak into the SEC championship and just maybe into the national chamionship.  If they can pull out a win over Bama in the weeks to come and then get revenge on a Florida team the sent them packing earlier on in the season.  They remain at 9 in the BCS.

Oregon is the other front runner to take the PAC-10 championship this year and their last great test will be against USC this week coming up.  I think the ducks are definatly hitting their stride after a tough start to their season.  Oregon is 10th this week.

Georgia Tech is 11th this week, and I have to say they seem to be the only consistancy in the ACC, and that aint  saying much.  This conference is probably the ugliest conference when it comes to showing up every week.  I am also not looking forward to their horrible conference championship game that is either going to be BC v. Ga Tech  or Clemson v. Ga Tech, talk about snoozefest.

Penn St. made a pretty good statement for their campaign to win the Big 10, but need Iowa to slip up a few times for it to matter.  Since the Hawkeyes own the tie breaker in the conference.  The Nittnay Lions destroyed the rebuilding Michigan Wolverines in the Big House.  Penn St. takes 12th.

Virginia Tech and Oklahoma St. each went up one notch this week for 13th and 14th place.  Va Tech will have a gimmie game against North Carolina who has all but fallen flat after their great start to the season.  Hokies should win easy.  The Cowboys on the other hand have probably their hardest test of the season against the number 3 Texas Longhorns which should prove to settle once and for all this season who will represent the Big 12 South in the Championship game.  After their hearbreaking loss to Houston in week 2 the Cowboys have outscored their opponents 200-85, they are a high powered offense that Texas has yet to see this year, but Oklahoma St. is going up against the number one rush defense in the nation and a team that has not even let their opponents get 100 points on them yet all year.  Make time to watch this great matchup.

Pitt is 15th in the nation according to the BCS up 5 from last week, this team is coming into its own with a stopping of South Florida.  The Big East somehow has become more interesting to follow than the ACC and its not even basketball season yet.  Pitt is as good as in a BCS bowl this year if they can win out and beat their two remaining ranked opponents in Cincy and West Virginia.  I think playing Cincy is the best possible end to their regular season.

Utah, Ohio St and Houston all move but stay bunched together.  Each gained a win this week but none were very exciting, these teams will see better action in the team to come.  they too 16th, 17th and 18th.

Miami fell to 19th in the BCS, which is good for them since they deserve to be unranked.  They have to be the biggest faker this season, in the national picture as well as the ACC.  They have great wins over good teams but their two losses are laughable at best.  The punctuation on this season thus far would be losing at home to a mediocre Clemson team.

Arizona, West Virginia and South Carolina all moved up two spots and stay in the same order taking 20, 21, and 22 in the poll.

Notre Dame, Cal, and Ole Miss sneaked back in to the Top 25 of the BCS.  I am not going to say much bout any of those teams since they have as good of a chance to lose each week as most unranked teams.  They are too in and out for my liking.

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Written by Jon Castano

October 26, 2009 at 10:57 am

Posted in Poll Talk

3 Responses

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  1. Cincinnati and Boise State really took hits after wins this week. Their strength of schedule will continue to hurt them. And Iowa is gaining fast, but they still have a really long way to go with upcoming games against unimpressive opponents Indiana, Northwestern and Minnesota and a very loseable game at Ohio State. If they overcome Ohio State, they’ll have a pretty serious case for the national championship. But, I still have my doubts. And I think they’ll still need a little help from two of the top-three teams.

    Austin Swafford

    October 26, 2009 at 1:47 pm

  2. And can I complain for a second about Miami only being down to 19? With a blowout loss to Virginia Tech on their record and now a loss to Clemson at home, they should be lower than that. The human polls have them at 18 while no computer has them higher than 20th, with an average rank of about 22. They should not be in the top 20.

    Austin Swafford

    October 26, 2009 at 1:53 pm

  3. I am glad I am not alone with the Miami issue. They are wayyyy over rated

    Jon Castano

    October 26, 2009 at 7:37 pm


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